My Views on Daily FX Update: Watch China, and Watch the Dollar – From here on, They go Hand in Hand

Tuesday saw a major help to British bank Barclay’s, during the heart of the credit crunch bailout of their investment. Abu Dhabi, which purchased 11% of Barclay’s shares late last year, just unloaded it all for 2.5 Billion Dollars, a move that sent shivers down the spines of Sterling investors throughout the world who thought that the banking issues were resolved already.

To be fair, no one really knows why they sold the shares, but the fact that they did is huge, because it’s not clear whether or not the bank is stable enough yet – and as a result the Sterling fell, a move that made Forex online traders scratch their heads.

It seems that hot news just keeps coming from the General Motor’s front – US Secretary of State, Timothy Geithner, was in China doing his best to convince the Chinese administration that the US is committed to stabilizing the dollar. While this was going on, China was working behind the scenes on the purchase of General Motor’s luxury SUV brand, the Hummer – a move that clearly made the Obama administration take pause and wonder what exactly it is they are doing.

The company that is in talks with the Bankrupt GM for Hummer is out of North-West China, and is labeled as a plastics company that has a desire to become a carmaker. If you ask me, this is a way for the Chinese to unload their dollars and buy a tangible asset – the problem is with Obama’s new café standards (carbon emission requirements) being so high for even the most conservative friendly vehicles, I am not so sure that cars as big as the Hummer will qualify. Which makes you think, as I am not a rocket scientist and I know this could be a problem - just what is China up to now?

Imagine the scene, the Chinese “help” out GM by buying a luxury brand and then employ Americans in the plants to make cars that can’t even be sold in the US – is that a public relations nightmare or what? Anyway, as Forex online traders (and offline) know, the Chinese will soon be the dominant economic power – just give it 10 years or so –these purchases are just strategic ways to literally “own” a piece of America. It’ll effect the stock market worldwide, Forex online trading etc.

History has shown us that this is the way it’s been done. It is how the US became what they are today, less than 100 years ago. Watch China, and watch the Dollar – from here on, they go hand in hand. As for the British banks, I told you weeks ago it was not over – thanks Abu Dhabi for supporting my case.

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Melting General Motors - Ask a Stupid Question….

So General Motors is going bankrupt after the US took a 70% stake in the company, China is concerned about the amount of money that the US is spending on its debt, North Korea is distracting the global financial community with its nuclear ambitions and the Eurozone economy is slowly creeping downward after all is said and done. What now? Well, a report in yesterdays Wall Street Journal reported that the US Treasury and Federal Reserve is puzzled over the spike in rates on the open market of their debt instruments.

I ask very cautiously, what is so hard to understand? The dilemma that they have is figuring out if the spike means there is less of a need for the quantitative easing that the US has made a policy of due to increased demand (with demand comes higher rates) or whether the market is spooked by the mounting debt the US is incurring during this downturn. I have a simple answer, and I am by no means an accredited economist. The latter is the correct answer and it is obvious.

The fact that in the last round of 10 year T-note auctions the US bought 30% of them, or should I say the Federal Reserve “invested” non-existent money in debt issued by the US Treasury should be a clear sign of what is going on. Aside from the fact that by bidding on their own debt they increase demand, falsely at that, the idea that an entity issues debt and then buys it themselves is alarming.

What else is new? President Obama had an interview with C-Span, the publicly owned network which covers the US congress and senate 24/7 and was asked if he was concerned that we will run out of money with all of these stimulus measures costing so much. His answer did more to spook the markets than anything else, and went largely unreported by the mainstream (liberal) media.

Obama said “we are already out of money.” A president admitting that can do much for causing an exodus by investors. Perhaps the Fed and Treasury need to look above, to the man in the big white house, and then re-ask themselves the question instead of acting so perplexed at the cause of rising interest rates.

Do you think the 70’s were bad when it came to inflation? Just watch…..

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