Chinese making an Impact on US Dollar
Wednesday, August 19, 2009
According to other sources I read after my curiosity was peaked, it seems as if the Chinese government is spread a bit too thin right now – having increased their feverish purchase plan of almost every natural resource in the Eastern hemisphere while investing heavy in mineral and oil excavation Africa as well.
In an economy that thrives on exports to be spending as large as they have been under conditions that are being equated with the Great Depression is just plain crazy – and culturally it was probably not easy for them to stop when they realized this.
Culturally, the Chinese are all about not making mistakes or miscalculations and while they were saying things were fine, they were really not.
The theory here is that the Chinese need to unload some of the 3 Trillion greenbacks they have to raise cash – by no means am I saying that China is in trouble, but they are not as well off at this point as everyone thought.
If this is the case, Forex traders can worry if they are long Dollar positions. The fact is, the Chinese have so much impact on the Forex at this moment based solely on their reserve levels, that the hint of a selloff would panic the market.
I don’t believe the Chinese want to hurt the Dollar, I will say this a thousand times, it is not in their interest to do so. I just think that their needs might inadvertently lead to this and there is nothing anyone can do about it.
For now, I will keep my nose in the online Forex world and ears to the whispers – perhaps I can help make more sense of this as the weeks go by.
In an economy that thrives on exports to be spending as large as they have been under conditions that are being equated with the Great Depression is just plain crazy – and culturally it was probably not easy for them to stop when they realized this.
Culturally, the Chinese are all about not making mistakes or miscalculations and while they were saying things were fine, they were really not.
The theory here is that the Chinese need to unload some of the 3 Trillion greenbacks they have to raise cash – by no means am I saying that China is in trouble, but they are not as well off at this point as everyone thought.
If this is the case, Forex traders can worry if they are long Dollar positions. The fact is, the Chinese have so much impact on the Forex at this moment based solely on their reserve levels, that the hint of a selloff would panic the market.
I don’t believe the Chinese want to hurt the Dollar, I will say this a thousand times, it is not in their interest to do so. I just think that their needs might inadvertently lead to this and there is nothing anyone can do about it.
For now, I will keep my nose in the online Forex world and ears to the whispers – perhaps I can help make more sense of this as the weeks go by.
1 comments:
'piqued' - not peaked
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